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Profile Activity Vote Summary

Vote summary for DNB‭

A daily summary of votes you have received for your posts.

Sep 29, 2021

+1

−0

Why would skyrocketing the numbers of doors help laypeople intuit the Monty Hall Problem?

Question Q&A

Sep 1, 2021

+0

−2

Does "both girls, ≥ 1 winter girl" = "both girls, ≥ 1 winter child" let you generalize the problem statement that postulated both children as girls?

Question Q&A

+0

−3

How would you intuit, and soothsay to rewrite, "both girls, ≥ 1 winter girl" as "both girls, ≥ 1 winter child"?

Question Q&A

Aug 29, 2021

+0

−1

How do I prove Simpson's Paradox, scilicet $P(A|B) > P(A|B^C)$?

Question Q&A

Aug 14, 2021

+0

−2

How do I prove Simpson's Paradox, scilicet $P(A|B) > P(A|B^C)$?

Question Q&A

+0

−3

Why "only 1/10,000 men with wives they abuse subsequently murder them" ≠ P(A|G,M) & "50% of husbands who murder their wives abused them” ≠ P(G|A)?

Question Q&A

Aug 13, 2021

+0

−3

How can I exploit symmetry to intuit P(A wins) + P(B wins) = 1, without performing algebra?

Question Q&A

+0

−1

How $p \to 1/2 \iff \frac{1-p}{p} \to 1$?

Question Q&A

Aug 12, 2021

+0

−1

In $w_{k + 1} - w_k = (\frac{1 - p}{p})^{exponent}(w_1 - w_0)$, why isn't exponent $k + 1$?

Question Q&A

Aug 11, 2021

+0

−1

How to vaticinate calculating $w_{k + 1} = w_1(1 + \dfrac{1- p}{p} + \dots + [\dfrac{1- p}{p}]^k)$ separately for $p = 1 - p$ and $p \neq 1 - p$?

Question Q&A

+1

−1

In $w_{k + 1} - w_k = (\frac{1 - p}{p})^{exponent}(w_1 - w_0)$, why isn't exponent $k + 1$?

Question Q&A

+1

−0

Why was my question closed: If Alice must've have classes on at least 2 days, why do you need the intersection of 3 's?

Question Meta

+0

−1

After $n - 2$ unchosen doors are opened, how does the probability of the $n - 2$ unchosen doors "shift" or "transfer" to the lone unchosen door?

Question Q&A

+0

−1

How to visualize multiplication in the Odds form of Bayes's Theorem?

Question Q&A

+0

−1

How to visualize division in the Odds form of Bayes's Theorem?

Question Q&A

+0

−1

Which vertical line signifies "putting the cutoff for a positive result at a very low level"?

Question Q&A

+1

−0

Intuitively, why does A, B independent $\iff$ A, $B^C$ independent $\iff A^C, B^C$ independent?

Question Q&A

Aug 10, 2021

+0

−1

How would you vaticinate to $-w_k$ from both sides of $w_{k + 1} = \dfrac{w_k - (1 - p)w_{k - 1}}{p}$?

Question Q&A

+0

−2

After $n - 2$ unchosen doors are opened, how does the probability of the $n - 2$ unchosen doors "shift" or "transfer" to the lone unchosen door?

Question Q&A

+0

−1

Which vertical line signifies "putting the cutoff for a positive result at a very low level"?

Question Q&A

Aug 5, 2021

+1

−0

Why would skyrocketing the numbers of doors help laypeople intuit the Monty Hall Problem?

Question Q&A

+0

−2

Intuitively, why would organisms — that after one minute, will either die, split into two, or stay the same, with equal probability — all die ultimately?

Question Q&A

+0

−2

How does P(Monty opens door 2) = P(Monty opens door 3), and $P(\text{get car}|M_2)P(M_2) = P(\text{get car}|M_3)P(M_3)$?

Question Q&A

+0

−4

In the Monty Hall problem, why can you just assume the contestant picked door 1? Why are you entitled to relabel the doors, or rewrite this solution with the door numbers permuted?

Question Q&A

+0

−2

If a 2nd test's independent from the 1st test, then why does $\frac{0.95}{0.05}$ figure twice in $\frac{P(D|T_1)}{P(D^C|T_1)}\frac{P(T_2|D,T_1)}{P(T_2|D^C,T_1)}$?

Question Q&A

+0

−2

Why's the true positive rate termed Sensitivity and true negative rate Specificity, not vice versa?

Question Q&A

+0

−3

How do these 3 bell curves of Likelihood, Posterior, Prior pictorialize the Odds form of Bayes' rule?

Question Q&A

+1

−0

How can "information about the birth season" bring "at least one is a girl" closer to "a specific one is a girl"?

Question Q&A

Aug 1, 2021

+0

−1

How can I visualize the Law of Total Probability with extra conditioning?

Question Q&A

Jul 30, 2021

+0

−1

What's wrong with evaluating $n(n-1) \dots (n-[k-3])(n-[k-2])\color{red}{(n-[k-1])}$ at $k = 1$?

Question Q&A

Jul 29, 2021

+0

−1

Intuitively, why does A, B independent $\iff$ A, $B^C$ independent $\iff A^C, B^C$ independent?

Question Q&A

+0

−3

Besides guaranteeing 0 ≤ P(A ∩ B) ≤ 1, why can't Independence be defined as P(A ∩ B) = P(A) +,-, or ÷ P(B)?

Question Q&A

Jul 28, 2021

+0

−1

How do you calculate $P(X = n|G), P(X = n|G^C)$ by the Law of Total Probability, with extra conditioning?

Question Q&A

+0

−1

How can I visualize the Law of Total Probability with extra conditioning?

Question Q&A

Jul 27, 2021

+0

−3

In the Lost Boarding Pass Probability Problem, why couldn't Passengers 2-99 sit in Seats 1 or 100, before Passenger 100 boards?

Question Q&A

Jul 25, 2021

+0

−1

How can "information about the birth season" bring "at least one is a girl" closer to "a specific one is a girl"?

Question Q&A

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