Post History
#2: Post edited
by
Agent Smith
·
2023-09-16T02:39:56Z (8 months ago)
- My two cents ... for what they're worth.
Imagine someone places 4 identical boxes in front of you. All of the boxes contain 4 identical cups of coffee each (4 × 4 = 16 cups of coffee that are indistinguishable from each other). In 3 of the boxes all the cups are laced with poison (injures, doesn't kill). In one box, only 3 cups contain poision.You are to select a box and then select a cup of coffe which you must drink. Remember all the boxes look identical and the cups of coffee too are identical i.e. you'll have to guess.**The probability that you have a chance of avoiding injury** = 1/4 = 25% (you choose the box that contains 1 cup of coffee that isn't poisoned; call this box J)Once you've selected this particular box (J), you'll have to pick the coffee that isn't poisoned. **The probability of avoiding injury** = 1/4 = 25%.
- My two cents ... for what they're worth.
- Imagine someone places 4 identical boxes (A, B, C, D) in front of you. All of the boxes contain 4 identical cups of coffee each (4 × 4 = 16 cups of coffee that are indistinguishable from each other). In 3 of the boxes all the cups are laced with poison (injures, doesn't kill). In one box, only 3 cups contain poison.
- You are to select a box and then select a cup of coffee which you must drink. Remember all the boxes look identical and the cups of coffee too are identical i.e. you'll have to guess.
- **The probability that you have a chance of avoiding injury** = 1/4 = 25% (you choose the box that contains 1 cup of coffee that isn't poisoned; call this box C)
- Once you've selected this particular box C, you'll have to pick the coffee that isn't poisoned. **The probability of avoiding injury** = 1/4 = 25%.
#1: Initial revision
by
Agent Smith
·
2023-09-15T16:52:30Z (8 months ago)
My two cents ... for what they're worth. Imagine someone places 4 identical boxes in front of you. All of the boxes contain 4 identical cups of coffee each (4 × 4 = 16 cups of coffee that are indistinguishable from each other). In 3 of the boxes all the cups are laced with poison (injures, doesn't kill). In one box, only 3 cups contain poision. You are to select a box and then select a cup of coffe which you must drink. Remember all the boxes look identical and the cups of coffee too are identical i.e. you'll have to guess. **The probability that you have a chance of avoiding injury** = 1/4 = 25% (you choose the box that contains 1 cup of coffee that isn't poisoned; call this box J) Once you've selected this particular box (J), you'll have to pick the coffee that isn't poisoned. **The probability of avoiding injury** = 1/4 = 25%.