What story and twodigit Natural Numbers best fit Bayes' Theorem chart? [closed]
Closed as duplicate by Monica Cellio on Jun 6, 2021 at 23:55
This question has been addressed elsewhere. See: What story and onedigit Natural Numbers explain Bayes' Theorem chart most simply?
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To complete the table below most comfortably for teenagers,

what are the simplest stories?

what natural numbers $\le 99$ contrast the base rate fallacy the most? Please don't repeat a number.
I'm trying to improve on this question that uses twodigits just $\le 20$, because

the Bayes table can be further contrasted using small with bigger ($\ge 20$) natural numbers. I don't know why Joseph O'Rourke stopped at 20, when he's using two digits anyways.

Twodigit natural numbers don't fit the common story of letting D be a disease and $H_0$ be a negative (diagnostic) test result. You need natural numbers in the thousands to contrast the huge number of false positives with the teeny number of true positives. What $H_0, D$ are more intuitive? Green denotes true positive and negative, red false positive and negative.
$\begin{array}{rccc} \text{Number of occurrences}&D &\lnot D &\text{Total}\\ \hline H_a &\color{green}{\Pr(D)\Pr(+D)}&\color{red}{\Pr(D^C)\Pr(+D^C)}&\text{add the 2 left entries}\ H_0 &\color{red}{\Pr(D)\Pr(D)}&\color{green}{\Pr(D^C)\Pr(D^C)}&\text{add the 2 left entries}\\ \hline \text{Total}&\text{add the 2 above entries}&\text{add the 2 above entries}&\text{two digit natural number} \end{array}$
2 comments
Does the code support an array here? — tommi 21 days ago
This appears to be exactly the same as your earlier question https://math.codidact.com/posts/280741 , and certainly suffers the same flaw that I raised then in the comments which makes it unanswerable. — Peter Taylor 19 days ago