Communities

Writing
Writing
Codidact Meta
Codidact Meta
The Great Outdoors
The Great Outdoors
Photography & Video
Photography & Video
Scientific Speculation
Scientific Speculation
Cooking
Cooking
Electrical Engineering
Electrical Engineering
Judaism
Judaism
Languages & Linguistics
Languages & Linguistics
Software Development
Software Development
Mathematics
Mathematics
Christianity
Christianity
Code Golf
Code Golf
Music
Music
Physics
Physics
Linux Systems
Linux Systems
Power Users
Power Users
Tabletop RPGs
Tabletop RPGs
Community Proposals
Community Proposals
tag:snake search within a tag
answers:0 unanswered questions
user:xxxx search by author id
score:0.5 posts with 0.5+ score
"snake oil" exact phrase
votes:4 posts with 4+ votes
created:<1w created < 1 week ago
post_type:xxxx type of post
Search help
Notifications
Mark all as read See all your notifications »

Review Suggested Edit

You can't approve or reject suggested edits because you haven't yet earned the Edit Posts ability.

Approved.
This suggested edit was approved and applied to the post almost 4 years ago by Mithrandir24601‭.

66 / 255
What story and one-digit Natural Numbers explain Bayes' Theorem chart most simply?
  • Some students have sniveled that most examples of Bayes' Theorem use non-integer numbers. I want to try a Bayes' Theorem chart that uses just single digit Natural Numbers $\le 9$. To complete the table below most comfortably for teenagers,
  • 1. what are the simplest stories?
  • 2. what natural numbers ≤ 9 contrast the base rate fallacy the most? Please don't repeat a number.
  • [The biggest number in this similar question](https://matheducators.stackexchange.com/q/16977/15364) still uses two digits, and rehashes the common example of letting D be be a disease and $H_0$ be a negative (diagnostic) test result. What other $H_0, D$ are more intuitive? Green denotes true positive and negative, red false positive and negative.
  • $\begin{array}{r|cc|c}
  • \text{Number of occurrences}&D &\lnot D &\text{Total}\\ \hline
  • H_a &\color{green}{\Pr(D)\Pr(+|D)}&\color{red}{\Pr(D^C)\Pr(+|D^C)}&\text{add the 2 left entries}\\
  • H_0 &\color{red}{\Pr(D)\Pr(-|D)}&\color{green}{\Pr(D^C)\Pr(-|D^C)}&\text{add the 2 left entries}\\ \hline
  • \text{Total}&\text{add the 2 above entries}&\text{add the 2 above entries}&\text{single digit integer}
  • \end{array}$
  • Some students have sniveled that most examples of Bayes' Theorem use non-integer numbers. I want to try a Bayes' Theorem chart that uses just single digit Natural Numbers $\le 9$. To complete the table below most comfortably for teenagers,
  • 1. what are the simplest stories?
  • 2. what natural numbers ≤ 9 contrast the base rate fallacy the most? Please don't repeat a number.
  • [The biggest number in this similar question](https://matheducators.stackexchange.com/q/16977/15364) still uses two digits, and rehashes the common example of letting D be be a disease and $H_0$ be a negative (diagnostic) test result. What other $H_0, D$ are more intuitive? Green denotes true positive and negative, red false positive and negative.
  • $\begin{array}{r|cc|c}
  • \text{Number of occurrences}&D &\lnot D &\text{Total}\\\\ \hline
  • H_a &\color{green}{\Pr(D)\Pr(+|D)}&\color{red}{\Pr(D^C)\Pr(+|D^C)}&\text{add the 2 left entries}\\\\
  • H_0 &\color{red}{\Pr(D)\Pr(-|D)}&\color{green}{\Pr(D^C)\Pr(-|D^C)}&\text{add the 2 left entries}\\\\ \hline
  • \text{Total}&\text{add the 2 above entries}&\text{add the 2 above entries}&\text{single digit integer}
  • \end{array}$

Suggested almost 4 years ago by Moshi‭